Ukuqonda iindlela ezisetyenziswayo zokuthengisa amaxabiso erabha ngo-2025 kubalulekile kumashishini ajonge ukuhlala ekhuphisana. Ndiyibonile indlela uhlalutyo lwedatha yabathengisi oludlala ngayo indima ebalulekileyo ekufumaneni amandla emarike. Lugxininisa izinto ezifana nokufumaneka kwezinto eziluhlaza, utshintsho kulawulo, kunye neemeko zoqoqosho. Olu lwazi lunika amandla amashishini ukuba aziqhelanise ngokukhawuleza kwaye athabathe amathuba. Kwabo bachaphazelekayo kushishino lwerabha, olo lwazi luqinisekisa ukwenziwa kwezigqibo ezingcono kunye nocwangciso olucwangcisiweyo kwimarike eguquka ngokukhawuleza.

Izinto ezibalulekileyo ekufuneka ziqwalaselwe
- Imarike yehlabathi yeendlela zerabha kulindeleke ukuba ikhule kakhulu. Ingafikelela kwi-USD 1,676.3 yezigidi ngo-2025 ngenxa yeemfuno zolimo nokwakha.
- I-Asia-Pacific yeyona marike inkulu, kulindeleke i-USD 492.78 yezigidi. Oku kubonisa amashishini okulima nokwakha aqinileyo kulo mmandla.
- Iingoma zerabhakunceda oomatshini basebenze ngcono kwezolimo, kwiifektri, nasemkhosini. Babalulekile kwiindlela ezininzi zokusetyenziswa.
- Ixabiso lezinto zokwakha, njengerabha yendalo, lichaphazela amaxabiso. Iinkampani kufuneka zijonge olu tshintsho ngononophelo.
- Abantu ngoku bakhetha iindlela zerabha ezilungele indalo ezenziwe ngezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo. Oku kungenxa yokuba ukuzinza kwezinto kuya kuba yinto ebaluleke ngakumbi.
- Izixhobo zedijithali zeenkonzo zokubonelela zenza umsebenzi ukhawuleze kwaye ube nobuchule. Zinceda iinkampani ukuba zilungelelanise ngokukhawuleza utshintsho lwemarike.
- Ukwazi ngemimandla eyahlukeneyo kubaluleke kakhulu. Iimarike ezintsha eAfrika naseLatin America zinika amathuba okukhula.
- Ukusebenzisa iirobhothi nezixhobo ezikrelekrele kwiifektri kunokunciphisa iindleko. Kukwanceda ekwenzeni imveliso ikhawuleze kwaye ibe ngcono.
Isishwankathelo seMarike yeRabha yeHlabathi ngo-2025
Ubungakanani beMarike kunye noQeqesho loKhulo
Imarike yehlabathi yendlela yerabha iza kukhula kakhulu ngo-2025. Ndibone uqikelelo oluqikelela ubungakanani bemarike ukuba bufikelele kwi-USD 1,676.3 yezigidi, ukusuka kwi-USD 1,560.17 yezigidi ngo-2024. Oku kubonisa i-CAGR eqhubekayo ye-7.44%. Ezinye uqikelelo zide zibonise ukuba imakethi ingakhula iye kwi-USD 2,142.5 yezigidi ngo-2025, kunye ne-CAGR ye-6.60% ukuya kwiminyaka elishumi ezayo.
Xa ndijonga ukukhula kwengingqi, i-Asia-Pacific iphuma phambili. Kulindeleke ukuba le ndawo ifikelele kubungakanani bemarike obuyi-USD 492.78 yezigidi ngo-2025, nge-CAGR emangalisayo ye-8.6%. I-India, ngakumbi, kulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngesantya esimangalisayo se-10.4%, ifikelele kwi-USD 59.13 yezigidi. La manani abonisa imfuno eqinileyo yeendlela zerabha kwiimarike ezisakhulayo, eqhutywa kukuqhubela phambili kwezolimo nokwakha.
Izicelo eziphambili zeeNdlela zerabha
I-trax yerabhazidlala indima ebalulekileyo kumashishini ahlukeneyo. Ndiqaphele ukuba oomatshini bemizi-mveliso babangela ngaphezulu kwama-40% emfuno yemarike. Ezi ndlela zonyusa ukusebenza kakuhle kwaye zinciphisa ukuguguleka kwemiphezulu, nto leyo eyenza ukuba zibe yimfuneko kwimisebenzi enzima. Oomatshini bezolimo balandela ngokusondeleyo, benegalelo eliphantse libe ngama-35% kwimarike. Abalimi baxhomekeke kwiindlela zerabha ukuze bakwazi ukukhusela umhlaba nokuhamba kwiindawo ezimanzi ngokulula.
Izithuthi zomkhosi nazo zisebenzisa imizila yerabha, zenza malunga ne-15% yemarike. Ukuqina kwazo okuphuculweyo kunye nokungcangcazela okuncitshisiweyo zilungele imisebenzi efihlakeleyo. Ezinye izicelo, ezifana nokulungisa igadi kunye nezixhobo zokucoca ikhephu, zimalunga ne-10% yemarike. Ezi mizila zibonelela ngokuchanekileyo kunye nokubambelela okuphezulu, okuqinisekisa ukusebenza kakuhle kwimisebenzi ekhethekileyo.
| Indawo yesicelo | Ipesenti yeMfuno yeMarike | Iingenelo eziphambili |
|---|---|---|
| Oomatshini Boshishino | Ngaphezulu kwama-40% | Ukusebenza kakuhle okuphuculweyo, ukunciphisa ukuguguleka nokukrazuka kwemiphezulu. |
| Oomatshini bezoLimo | Phantse i-35% | Ukhuseleko lomhlaba oluphuculweyo, ukwanda kokuhambahamba kwiindawo ezimanzi. |
| Izithuthi zoMkhosi | Malunga ne-15% | Ukuqina komoya okuphuculweyo, ukungcangcazela okuncitshisiweyo, kulungele imisebenzi efihlakeleyo. |
| Ezinye (Ukulungisa igadi, njl.njl.) | Malunga ne-10% | Ukuchaneka ekulungiseni igadi, ukubamba okungcono kwizixhobo zokucoca ikhephu. |
Abadlali Abaphambili kunye noSasazo lweSabelo seMarike
Imarike yendlela yerabha inokhuphiswano olukhulu, kwaye abadlali abaninzi abaphambili balawula umhlaba. ICamso, eyinxalenye yeMichelin Group, inesabelo esikhulu semarike kwi-18%. I-Bridgestone Corporation ilandela nge-15%. Ezinye iinkampani ezidumileyo ziquka i-Continental AG, iMcLaren Industries Inc., kunye ne-ITR America. Aba badlali bazinze ngokuvelisa izinto ezintsha, umgangatho, kunye nobudlelwane obucwangcisiweyo.
| Inkampani | Ukwabelana kwimakethi |
|---|---|
| ICamso (inxalenye yeMichelin Group) | 18% |
| I-Bridgestone Corporation | 15% |
Ndikwabone uluhlu olwahlukeneyo lwababoneleli abanegalelo kwimarike, abanjengoDIGBITS Ltd., X-Trac Rubber Tracks, kunye nePoson Forging Co. Ltd. Ubukho babo buqinisekisa ukubonelelwa rhoqo kweetrekhi zerabha, nto leyo ehlangabezana neemfuno ezahlukeneyo zamashishini kwihlabathi liphela. Le meko yokhuphiswano iqhuba ubuchule kwaye igcina amaxabiso etrekhi zerabha etshintshatshintsha.
Izinto Eziphambili Ezichaphazela Iingoma Zerabha Iindlela Zokuthengisa Amaxabiso Athengiswa Ngobuninzi
Iindleko zezinto eziluhlaza
Impembelelo yeRabha yendalo kunye namaxabiso eRabha yokwenziwa
Iindleko zezinto eziluhlaza zidlala indima ebalulekileyo ekumiseleniixabiso leengoma zerabha. Ndiqaphele ukuba ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso erabha yendalo kunye neekhompawundi zokwenziwa kuchaphazela ngokuthe ngqo iindleko zemveliso. Umzekelo, ukunyuka kwe-15% kumaxabiso erabha yendalo ngo-2023 kwandise kakhulu iindleko zokuvelisa. Olu hlobo lotshintsho lusenokuqhubeka ukuya kutsho ngo-2025, njengoko imfuno yeendlela zerabha ezikumgangatho ophezulu ikhula kumashishini onke. Abavelisi kufuneka bajonge ngononophelo olu tshintsho lwamaxabiso ukuze bagcine amaqhinga okukhuphisana kwamaxabiso.
Impembelelo yokuphazamiseka kweCandelo loNikezelo
Ukuphazamiseka kweenkqubo zokubonelela ngeenkonzo kwenza kube nzima ngakumbi ukulawula iindleko kubavelisi beendlela zerabha. Ukulibaziseka kwezothutho kunye noxinzelelo lwezopolitiko kudla ngokukhokelela ekunyukeni kweendleko zothutho. Oku kuphazamiseka kunokunciphisa ukufumaneka kwezinto eziyimfuneko, kunyanzele abavelisi ukuba balungise amaqhinga abo okubeka amaxabiso. Ndiyibonile indlela ezi ngxaki ezenza kube nzima ngayo kumashishini ukuzinzisa iindleko zawo zemveliso, ekugqibeleni zichaphazele iindlela zamaxabiso athengiswayo ngobuninzi.
Iinguqu zoNikezelo lweeMfuno
Imfuno yeCandelo lezoLimo noLwakhiwo
Imfuno yeetreyi zerabha iphenjelelwa kakhulu ngamacandelo ezolimo nawokwakha. La mashishini ayanda ngokukhawuleza, nto leyo ebangela ukuba kubekho iitreyi zerabha ezihlala ixesha elide nezisebenzayo. Ndiqaphele ukuba uphuhliso lwetekhnoloji luphucule ixesha elide kunye nokusebenza kwezi treyi, nto leyo eyenza ukuba zibe nomtsalane ngakumbi kubathengi. Nangona kunjalo, iziganeko zemozulu ezigqithisileyo zinokuphazamisa uthotho lokubonelela, zichaphazele ukufumaneka kweetreyi zerabha kwimarike.
Amandla okuvelisa kunye namanqanaba empahla
Umthamo wemveliso kunye namanqanaba empahla nazo zibumba imekoamaxabiso eetrekhi zerabha ngobuninzi. Abavelisi abanezakhono eziphezulu zemveliso banokuhlangabezana neemfuno ezikhulayo ngokufanelekileyo, besenza amaxabiso azinze. Kwelinye icala, amanqanaba amancinci empahla anokubangela ukunqongophala kobonelelo, okukhokelela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso. Amashishini kufuneka alinganisele imveliso kunye nolawulo lwempahla ukuze avumelane nokuguquguquka kwemarike.
Izinto zeJografi kunye nezoQoqosho
Imigaqo-nkqubo yoRhwebo kunye neeRhafu
Imigaqo-nkqubo yorhwebo kunye neerhafu zichaphazela kakhulu amaxabiso eetrekhi zerabha. Utshintsho kwimigaqo yokungenisa/ukuthumela ngaphandle lunokutshintsha ulwakhiwo lweendleko kubavelisi kunye nababoneleli. Umzekelo, iirhafu eziphezulu kwizixhobo ezikrwada okanye kwiimveliso ezigqityiweyo zinokunyusa iindleko zemveliso, ezithi emva koko zidluliselwe kubathengi. Ndiyibonile indlela amashishini ekufuneka ahlale enolwazi ngayo ngale migaqo-nkqubo ukuze akwazi ukuhamba kwiingxaki zorhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe.
Ukuguquguquka kwemali kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso
Ukuguquguquka kwemali kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso zezinye izinto ezibalulekileyo ezichaphazela iindlela zerabha ezithengiswayo. Izinto ezinxulumene nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ezifana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza kunye neendleko zezothutho, kulindeleke ukuba zinyuse amaxabiso ngo-2025. Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi ikhule kakhulu, ngokonyuka kobukhulu ukusuka kwi-USD 2,142.5 yezigidi ngo-2025 ukuya kwi-USD 3,572.6 yezigidi ngo-2033. Olu kukhula lubonisa imfuno enamandla yeendlela zerabha, kodwa lukwagxininisa imfuneko yokuba abavelisi balawule iindleko ngokufanelekileyo.
Uxinzelelo lweNdalo kunye noLawulo
Iimfuneko zoZinzo
Uzinzo lube yinto ephambili ekugxilwe kuyoimakethi yendlela yerabha. Ndiqaphele imfuno ekhulayo yezisombululo ezinobuhlobo nokusingqongileyo ezinciphisa impembelelo yokusingqongileyo. Abathengi kunye namashishini ngoku bakhetha iimveliso ezenziwe ngezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo okanye ezo zinokuphinda zisetyenziswe ekupheleni kobomi babo. Olu tshintsho lubonisa umkhwa obanzi wokunciphisa umkhondo weenyawo zendalo. Iindlela zerabha ezihlangabezana nale migangatho ziya zithandwa, ngakumbi kumacandelo afana nezolimo kunye nokwakha, apho inkxalabo yokusingqongileyo ibaluleke kakhulu.
Abavelisi bayasabela ngokusebenzisa iindlela ezizinzileyo. Umzekelo, ezinye iinkampani ngoku zisebenzisa iindlela eziphambili zokuvelisa ukunciphisa inkunkuma kunye nokusetyenziswa kwamandla. Ezinye zihlola izixhobo ezintsha ezibonelela ngokuqina ngelixa zinobuhlobo nokusingqongileyo. Le mizamo ayihambelani nje kuphela nolindelo lwabathengi kodwa ikwanceda amashishini ukuba ahlale ekhuphisana kwimarike exabisa ngakumbi ukuqina.
Ixesha leposi: Februwari-19-2025